By Peter Levi
With training camps just a few weeks away it’s time to take a look at the league and see both how team’s have changed in the off-season and what to expect going forward. I’ll be breaking it down each division followed by final conclusions and rankings. Conference rankings are listed in brackets next to the team.
New Jersey Devils (2nd)
Coaching change: John MacLean (80-39-31-10 AHL)
Roster losses: Rob Niedermayer (UFA – Buffalo, 71-22), Mike Mottau (UFA – New York Islanders, 79-18), Dean McAmmond (UFA, 62-17), Paul Martin (UFA – Pittsburgh, 22-11), Martin Skoula (UFA – KHL, 52-11), Jay Pandolfo (buyout, 52-9), Andrew Peters (buyout – Florida, 29-0)
Roster additions: Jason Arnott (T Nashville), Anton Volchenkov (UFA Ottawa), Henrik Tallinder (UFA Buffalo), Johan Hedberg (UFA Atlanta)
Prospect signings: Mattias Tedenby (44-19 SEL), Jacob Josefson (43-20 SEL), David McIntyre (35-39 NCAA), Adam Henrique (54-77 OHL), Dan Kelly (58-27 OHL), Harry Young (65-20 OHL), Eric Gelinas (61-31 QMJHL), Jean-Sebastien Berube (64-45 QMJHL), Alexander Urbom (66-33 WHL)
Forwards: Ilya Kovalchuk (76-85), Zach Parise (81-82), Travis Zajac (82-67), Jamie Langenbrunner (81-61), Patrik Elias (58-48), Jason Arnott (63-46), Brian Rolston (80-37), Dainius Zubrus (51-27), David Clarkson (46-24), Vladimir Zharkov (40-10), Rod Pelley (63-10), Pierre-Luc Letourneau-Leblond (27-2)
Defence: Andy Greene (78-37), Henrik Tallinder (82-20), Anton Volchenkov (64-14), Bryce Salvador (79-14), Colin White (81-12), Anssi Salmela (38-8), Mark Fraser (61-6)
Goaltenders: Martin Brodeur (2.24, 0.916, 77-45-25-6), Johan Hedberg (2.62, 0.915, 47-21-16-6)
Injuries: Bryce Salvadore, Anssi Salmela
Strengths: defensive play, goaltending, forward depth
Weaknesses: scoring, puck moving defensemen
Analysis: the Devils enjoyed an excellent regular season under Jacques Lemaire, then proceeded with what has become routine for them since the lockout: a disappointing loss in the playoffs. Martin Brodeur again played an absurd number of regular season games (77) and given his lattitude in deciding when he plays I have to assume he will play at least 70 again (despite the addition of Johan Hedberg). While the Devils improved their blueline defensively, they are now even less able to move the puck forward with the loss of Paul Martin–hoping that Andy Greene and Anssi Salmela can continue to evolve into that role. With their strong forward group I expect the Devils to have another good regular season and make the playoffs, but there’s no reason to expect this version of the team to be any better than last year’s version.
Philadelphia Flyers (7th)
Roster losses: Simon Gagne (T – TB, 58-40), Aaron Asham (UFA – Pittsburgh, 72-24), Mika Pyorala (UFA – SEL, 36-4), Lukas Krajicek (UFA – CZE, 50-3), Ryan Parent (T – Nashville, 48-3), Riley Cote (retired, 15-0), Ray Emery (UFA, 29-16-11-1, 2.64, 0.905)
Roster additions: Nikolai Zherdev (KHL), Andrej Meszaros (T Tampa Bay), Sean O’Donnell (UFA Los Angeles), Jody Shelley (UFA New York Rangers), Matt Walker (T Tampa Bay)
Prospect signings: Sergei Bobrovsky (2.72, 0.919, KHL), Michael Testwuide (36-31 NCAA), Erik Gustafsson (39-32 NCAA), Andrew Rowe (38-28 NCAA), Ben Holmstrom (39-23 NCAA), Luke Pither (67-94 OHL), Tyler Hostetter (59-26 OHL), Eric Wellwood (65-68 OHL), Zac Rinaldo (60-25 OHL), Shane Harper (72-80 WHL)
Forwards: Mike Richards (82-62), Jeff Carter (74-61), Daniel Briere (75-53), Claude Giroux (82-47), Scott Hartnell (81-44), James Van Riemsdyk (78-35), Daniel Carcillo (76-22), Nikolai Zherdev (52-39 KHL), Ian Laperriere (82-20), Blair Betts (63-18), Darroll Powe (63-15), Ville Leino (55-11), Jody Shelley (57-9)
Defence: Chris Pronger (82-55), Kimmo Timonen (82-39), Matt Carle (80-35), Braydon Coburn (81-19), Andrej Meszaros (81-17), Sean O’Donnell (78-15), Matt Walker (66-5)
Goaltenders: Michael Leighton (2.83, 0.905, 34-17-9-2), Brian Boucher (2.76, 0.899, , 33-9-18-3)
Injuries: Chris Pronger, Michael Leighton, Ian Laperriere
Strengths: forward depth, scoring, blueline
Weaknesses: goaltending, team chemistry
Analysis: a strong, deep roster went all the way to the finals, but the Flyers once again failed to address their only issue: goaltending. Much as I admire Leighton and Boucher, there are good reasons why both these players have bounced around for so long. It’s also of note that the Flyers only came together at playoff time and I’m not convinced their chemistry issues are resolved. However, there’s just too much talent here for them not to make the playoffs.
Pittsburgh Penguins (4th)
Roster losses: Sergei Gonchar (UFA – Ottawa, 62-50), Alexei Ponikarovsky (77-50), Bill Guerin (UFA, 78-45), Ruslan Fedotenko (UFA – New York Rangers, 80-30), Jordan Leopold (UFA – Buffalo, 81-26), Mart Eaton (UFA – NYI, 79-16), Jay McKee (UFA, 62-10)
Roster additions: Mike Comrie (UFA Edmonton), Aaron Asham (UFA Philadelphia), Zbynek Michalek (UFA Phoenix), Paul Martin (UFA New Jersey)
Prospect signings: Mattias Modig (2.49, 0.899, SEL), Patrick Killeen (2.42, 0.913, OHL), Nicholas Petersen (59-79 QMJHL), Simon Despres (63-47 QMJHL)
Forwards: Sidney Crosby (81-109), Evgeni Malkin (67-77), Jordan Staal (82-49), Pascal Dupuis (81-38), Chris Kunitz (50-32), Matt Cooke (79-30), Tyler Kennedy (64-25), Aaron Asham (72-24), Mike Comrie (43-21), Michael Rupp (81-19), Craig Adams (82-10), Maxime Talbot (45-7), Eric Godard (45-3)
Defence: Alex Goligoski (69-37), Krisopher Letang (73-27), Brooks Orpik (73-25), Zbynek Michalek (72-17), Paul Martin (22-11), Ben Lovejoy (12-3)
Goaltenders: Marc-Andre Fleury (2.65, 0.905, 67-37-21-6), Brent Johnston (2.76, 0.906, 23-10-6-1)
Injuries: Jordan Staal
Strengths: scoring
Weaknesses: depth, youthful blueline
Analysis: the team was let down by mediocre goaltending and an inability for support players to score in the playoffs. They lost their best defenseman in Sergei Gonchar and while they acquired two solid veterans in Martin and Michalek to help replace him, their powerplay is going to suffer. I wonder if GM Ray Shero can continue to pull rabbits out of his hat by putting aging veterans on the wing with Crosby and Malkin. At some point relying on their top centers just won’t work, no matter how talented they are. On paper this is the weakest Pittsburgh forward group since the lockout, with a great reliance on young blueliners to step up offensively. The Penguins may well squeak into the playoffs, but they won’t be the foe that they have been the last few years.
New York Rangers (9th)
Roster losses: Ollie Jokinen (UFA – Calgary, 82-50), Enver Lisin (UFA – KHL, 57-14), Pierre-Alexandre Parenteau (UFA – New York Islanders, 22-8), Jody Shelley (UFA – Philadelphia, 57-9), Aaron Voros (T – Anaheim, 41-7), Donald Brashear (T – Atlanta, 36-1), Alex Auld (UFA – Montreal, 2.96, 0.895, 24-9-7-3)
Roster additions: Alexander Frolov (UFA Los Angeles), Todd White (T Atlanta), Tim Kennedy (buyout Buffalo), Steve Eminger (T Anaheim), Derek Boogaard (UFA Minnesota), Martin Biron (UFA New York Islanders), Ruslan Fedotenko (UFA Pittsburgh)
Prospect signings: Mats Zuccarello-Aasen (55-64 SEL), Lee Baldwin (32-10 NCAA), Derek Stepan (41-54 NCAA), Cameron Talbot (2.61, 0.925 NCAA), Sam Klassen (67-30 WHL), Jyri Niemi (50-29 WHL)
Forwards: Marian Gaborik (76-86), Vaclav Prospal (75-58), Alexander Frolov (81-51), Brandon Dubinsky (69-44), Ryan Callahan (77-37), Chris Drury (77-32), Sean Avery (69-31), Ruslan Fedotenko (80-30), Artem Anisimov (82-28), Todd White (65-26), Erik Christensen (57-26), Tim Kennedy (78-26), Brandon Prust (79-14), Brian Boyle (71-6)
Defence: Michael Del Zotto (80-37), Marc Staal (82-27), Daniel Girardi (82-24), Michal Rozsival (82-23), Steve Eminger (63-16), Matt Gilroy (69-15), Wade Redden (75-14)
Goaltenders: Henrik Lundqvist (2.38, 0.921, 73-35-27-10), Martin Biron (3.27, 0.896, 29-9-14-4)
Injuries: Chris Drury, Vaclav Prospal
Strengths: goaltending, defensive play
Weaknesses: scoring, puck-moving defensemen
Analysis: the Rangers continue to struggle to score. In signing Alexander Frolov and mighty-mite Zuccarello-Aasen they hope to have a little more punch in the upcoming season. The Rangers also need more production from their blueline, but other than hoping for the maturation of current players have done nothing to solve that problem. Despite the changes their roster is thin group overly reliant on Henrik Lundqvist. They will be touch and go to make the playoffs.
New York Islanders (13th)
Roster losses: Richard Park (UFA – NLA, 81-31), Sean Bergenheim (UFA – Tampa Bay, 63-23), Freddy Meyer (UFA – Atlanta, 64-15), Jeff Tambellini (UFA – Vancouver, 36-14), Tim Jackman (UFA – Calgary, 54-9), Brendan Witt (buyout, 42-5), Martin Biron (3.27, 0.896, 29-9-14-4)
Roster additions: James Wisniewski (UFA Anaheim), Mark Eaton (UFA Pittsburgh), Milan Jurcina (UFA Washington), Zenon Konopka (UFA Tampa Bay), Pierre-Alexandre Parenteau (UFA New York Rangers), Mike Mottau (UFA New York Rangers), Michael Grabner (Waivers Tampa Bay)
Prospect signings: David Ullstrom (47-16 SEL), Rhett Rakhshani (41-50 NCAA), Calvin de Haan (34-24 OHL), Kevin Poulin (2.63, 0.916, QMJHL), Travis Hamonic (41-44 WHL), Nino Niederreiter (65-60 WHL)
Forwards: John Taveres (82-54), Kyle Okposo (80-52), Matt Moulson (82-48), Frans Nielsen (76-38), Blake Comeau (61-35), Joshua Bailey (73-35), Trent Hunter (61-28), Rob Schremp (44-25), Jonathan Sim (77-22), Doug Weight (36-17), Michael Grabner (20-11), Pierre-Alexandre Parenteau (22-8), Zenon Konopka (74-5)
Defence: Mart Streit (82-49), James Wisniewski (69-30), Jack Hillen (69-21), Mark Mottau (79-18), Bruno Gervais (71-17), Mark Eaton (79-16), Milan Jurcina (44-7), Andrew MacDonald (46-7), Radek Martinek (16-3)
Goaltenders: Dwayne Roloson (3.00, 0.907, 50-23-18-7), Rick DiPietro (2.60, 0.900, 8-2-5-0)
Injuries: Markc Streit, Kyle Okposo, Rob Schremp
Strengths: goaltending
Weaknesses: forward depth
Analysis: the Isles were a competitive, young team, whose roster hasn’t changed markedly. They’ve improved their blueline through free agency, but there isn’t much depth up front and the team is reliant on young players putting up big numbers. I expect the Isles to be largely unchanged in terms of results this year.